3 ms·
Top Israeli prof claims simple stats show virus plays itself out after 70 days
- chmaynard 6y agoGosh, if a top professor said it then it must be true!
- Gibbon1 6y agoWell crap! Now I have to go and dig up the paper that said the same things about AIDS in the 1980's. BRB!! Back!! Farr's law applied to AIDS projections. Bregman DJ1, Langmuir AD. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/2308183 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/2308183 "The 6 years of incidence data closely fit a normal distribution that crests in late 1988 and then declines to a low point by the mid-1990s. The projected size of the epidemic falls in the range of 200 000 cases. A continuing incidence of endemic cases can be expected to emerge, but we believe it will occur at a low level."