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You're missing an implicit assumption - that each country's testing regimes and levels and criteria were comparable - for an example from the top of my head, so

You're missing an implicit assumption - that each country's testing regimes and levels and criteria were comparable - for an example from the top of my head, some countries only test if you show symptoms. So if you'll allow me to rephrase: > Germany went into lockdown at 3000 known cases per day, while the UK went into lockdown at 700 known cases per day, and Spain at 600 known cases per day. As you said earlier, so many damn factors in this.

rovolo 7y ago
To add more data, Germany locked down on Mar 17 at 24 known deaths. The UK locked down on Mar 23 at 336 known deaths. Germany reached 342 known deaths on Mar 27. That's 10 days of lead time on the deaths metric. Germany's new deaths per day (smoothed) stopped increasing at 215 per day on Apr 9 (2.5 weeks later). The UK's death rate stopped increasing at 850 on Apr 15 (2.5 weeks later). https://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/?chart=countries&highlight=United%20Kingdom&show=highlight-only&trendline=default&y=fixed&scale=log&data=deaths&extra=Germany#countries https://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/?chart=countr...