4 ms·
Absolutely there would be. On the other hand, the results from the recent antibody testing in California[1] (if they're accurate) would suggest a much lower de
by atourgates 7y ago
Absolutely there would be.
On the other hand, the results from the recent antibody testing in California[1] (if they're accurate) would suggest a much lower death rate - around 0.1% - 0.2%.
I fully agree that social distancing is the right move with the current data, but I wonder if that will continue to be the case as we come to understand the virus and its actual infection-fatality-rate more.
[1] https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-01095-0 https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-01095-0
- dijit 7y ago0.1% is the current mortality of flu, this has killed twice the yearly number of flu victims in a month. Could be explained by the huge infection rate possibly but it’s definitely more deadly by a wide margin.
- atourgates 7y agoI agree totally. I haven't seemed much informed discussion along these lines, but the only two possabilities I see are: 1) The antibody studies are incorrect, and over-counting the infection rate. 2) COVID-19 spreads much more easily than influenza, and so a large percentage of the population has become infected much quicker than typical influenza spread patterns. Neither option is great, though to me of the two, #2 seems more hopeful, since assumedly we'd get herd immunity relatively quickly.