> Thiel and Musk have a track record of success though. Yes, they're lucky, but they also seem to be smart and capable. Thinking someone has expertise in X the

> Thiel and Musk have a track record of success though. Yes, they're lucky, but they also seem to be smart and capable. Thinking someone has expertise in X therefore they are good source for analysis on Y is the logical fallacy I linked to above. Contrary to what silicon valley believes, there is no such thing as being "smart" in a general sense. You can be capable in certain things, maybe you are faster to learn in others. That doesn't mean any founder with a billion $ exit should be asked about public policy.