12 ms·
As Tegnell points out, the relevant comparison is death rates after the epidemic has run its course, say after a year or so. Lockdown just delays some of the in
by senderista 7y ago
As Tegnell points out, the relevant comparison is death rates after the epidemic has run its course, say after a year or so. Lockdown just delays some of the infections to buy time for additional mitigations which will hopefully decrease the total number of deaths. The virus will still eventually spread through the population until herd immunity is reached.
- cycrutchfield 7y agoThis ignores hospital capacity, which is the most important consideration when projecting out fatality rates. Lockdowns are not just about buying time for additional mitigations.
- CuriousSkeptic 7y agoAnd the ICU load has hovered around 80% the last couple of weeks. Which was the goal of the chosen strategy. Current goal is to keep things below that while things develop
- senderista 7y agoOne of those mitigations is increasing hospital surge capacity.