4 ms·
So there's a morbid silver lining here. If this continues, as I expect since we probably won't release inmates in most places in the US, this will be a good tes
by twomoretime 6y ago
So there's a morbid silver lining here. If this continues, as I expect since we probably won't release inmates in most places in the US, this will be a good test to see what percentage of recoveries acquire immunity and possibly whether reinfection is possible and deadly because of antibody dependent enhancement[1], a property which is shared by SARS and MERS.
1. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antibody-dependent_enhancement https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antibody-dependent_enhanceme...
P.S. looks like that article has been modified since I last read it, based on the new literature I'm pretty convinced that COVID19 is likely to be deadlier the second time around. This is really, really bad. Vaccine is unlikely for this reason as well. Our only real hope it seems is to find or develop a prophylactic and/or treatment and stay in some form of isolation until then.
Edit: there is nothing factually incorrect about what I'm saying and all of these bits and pieces have been floating around for months.
The fact that a virologist hasn't connected these particular dots on live TV yet doesn't preclude us from speculating. We all have access to the same literature.
- adrianN 6y agoI doubt that the prison demographic is in any way representative of the whole population so that data would be of limited use.
- twomoretime 6y agoThey're humans. This beats any animal model study for worst case infection scenario. The data would be invaluable.