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New Zealand is the only country that has a government that full elimination is a viable option. The modelling that drives the belief is 100% based on the best a
by timClicks 6y ago
New Zealand is the only country that has a government that full elimination is a viable option. The modelling that drives the belief is 100% based on the best available science. You can read the papers yourself, they've already been released by the underlying institute: https://www.tepunahamatatini.ac.nz/2020/04/ https://www.tepunahamatatini.ac.nz/2020/04/. In particular "Modelling COVID-19 spread and the effects of Alert Level 4 in New Zealand" was highly persuasive https://www.tepunahamatatini.ac.nz/2020/04/09/a-stochastic-model-for-covid-19-spread-and-the-effects-of-alert-level-4-in-aotearoa-new-zealand/ https://www.tepunahamatatini.ac.nz/2020/04/09/a-stochastic-m...
- morelisp 6y ago> New Zealand is the only country that has a government that [thinks] full elimination is a viable option. Are you sure this isn't because NZ is one of very few countries where full elimination is a viable option?
- timClicks 6y agoIt's more expensive for New Zealand to shut its borders than most countries. In a sense, we're least able to eliminate the virus because we're so heavily dependent on our international connectivity. We rely heavily on immigration. Our policy planners expect the population to grow every year because of new arrivals. That movement has other effects, like supporting house price inflation. Which itself impacts the banks' expectations and willingness to lend. And so on. Tourism and international education are very significant industries for us. Tourism employs about 1/7 workers. Even something that appears relatively domestic, such as growing food, relies on migrant workers from the Pacific.
- javagram 6y ago> New Zealand is the only country that has a government that full elimination is a viable option. The modelling that drives the belief is 100% based on the best available science. Isn’t Taiwan also on this path?