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Yeah, I don't understand at all what the purpose of publishing this hash was supposed to be. Is it just to be able to say "I told you so!" (or in this case, I d
by ForHackernews 7y ago
Yeah, I don't understand at all what the purpose of publishing this hash was supposed to be. Is it just to be able to say "I told you so!" (or in this case, I didn't tell you so, but I really did think this) at some later date?
> In a world where I was wrong, people who trust me professionally would likely think less of me. That was an acceptable risk.
Yeah, what a hero taking an extremely slight risk to his reputation in the middle of a pandemic.
Sorry, I normally generally like things patio11 writes on here (he's the bingo card guy, right?) but this whole thing reads like a lengthy ego-stroke.
- nico_h 7y agoThe point of the hash is a marker to force yourself to come to terms with your idea. You make it public and then act on it. The author has a visa to stay in Japan, a country with strict rules on the disruption of public order. Spreading unfounded speculation on a pandemic might rule afoul of such rules.
- ForHackernews 7y agoBut...posting a hash doesn't force you to do anything. All it does is help you be cryptographically-verifiably smug after the fact.
- tptacek 7y agoNo, it demonstrates that you're not backtesting whatever your model was to fit the current reality.
- nico_h 7y agoBut if you didn't act on it then you're just a shmuck that knew something and didn't help their neighbors, if you did act, you can justifiably _be_ smug because you did something about it. Posting it and acting on it build a "track record" that is harder to dismiss.
- HackOfAllTrades 7y ago"I don't understand at all what the purpose of publishing this hash.." The author was explicit: "sending up a flare", hoping "someone would read between the lines".