I don't assume that paper is correct. It's the first example I found of people estimating 0.5% since you apparently hadn't noticed that number being bandied aro

I don't assume that paper is correct. It's the first example I found of people estimating 0.5% since you apparently hadn't noticed that number being bandied around for the last month. It's a number I've been seeing since early March, along with 40-70% of the population ultimately being infected. I saw one guy suggesting up to 80%. If NYC is already at 80% and rising, that's pretty surprising. I would like to get an idea of what the IFR really is, not which extreme end of the range of uncertainty looks the best or worst. If it's a little less than 0.5%, great. But when some paper comes out of left field and suggests it's closer to 0.05%, sure, I'm skeptical, especially when mortality is already above that fraction of the entire population in several places.