5 ms·

A third of a random sample taken in Chelsea, Massachusetts: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chelsea,_Massachusetts https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chelsea,_Massach

by scythe 7y ago

A third of a random sample taken in Chelsea, Massachusetts: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chelsea,_Massachusetts https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chelsea,_Massachusetts >Chelsea is [...] directly across the Mystic River from the city of Boston. [...] It is also the second most densely populated city in Massachusetts behind Somerville. A random sample in a highly affected and extremely dense area is not a model for the whole state.

powvans 7y ago
As soon as I saw this study I Googled Chelsea Mass and in the first few results was an article about how it has been hit hard by the virus. From the article: > “Chelsea is suffering in this pandemic,” City Manager Tom Ambrosino told WBZ News. “We have, as far as I can determine, the highest infection rate in the Commonwealth.” [1] With that information the takeaway should be that in the areas with the highest rate of infection we are seeing as much as 30% of the population with antibodies. That's great and an encouraging statistic that seems to indicate the percentage of mild or asymptomatic cases is much higher than originally believed. It does not mean that we are close to herd immunity everywhere. We need randomized testing in many many more communities across the country in order to get the full picture. [1] https://www.boston.com/news/local-news/2020/04/10/chelsea-massachusetts-coronavirus https://www.boston.com/news/local-news/2020/04/10/chelsea-ma...
lubujackson 7y ago
Chelsea is literally the hardest hit town in MA: https://www.nbcboston.com/news/local/the-20-communities-with-the-highest-rate-of-coronavirus-cases-in-mass/2108780/ https://www.nbcboston.com/news/local/the-20-communities-with... I have some natural doubts over all these antibody tests that indicate herd immunity while covering up major flaws...
ghaff 7y ago
Furthermore, a very working class city so I'm sure that a far lower percentage of people are staying home than in many places. [ADDED: Given jobs that don't allow them to stay home.]
kgwgk 7y ago
And it’s a random sample of people on the street, at some particular place, which may not very representative of the population of Chelsea either.

by scythe 7y ago

powvans 7y ago

As soon as I saw this study I Googled Chelsea Mass and in the first few results was an article about how it has been hit hard by the virus. From the article: > “Chelsea is suffering in this pandemic,” City Manager Tom Ambrosino told WBZ News. “We have, as far as I can determine, the highest infection rate in the Commonwealth.” [1] With that information the takeaway should be that in the areas with the highest rate of infection we are seeing as much as 30% of the population with antibodies. That's great and an encouraging statistic that seems to indicate the percentage of mild or asymptomatic cases is much higher than originally believed. It does not mean that we are close to herd immunity everywhere. We need randomized testing in many many more communities across the country in order to get the full picture. [1] https://www.boston.com/news/local-news/2020/04/10/chelsea-massachusetts-coronavirus https://www.boston.com/news/local-news/2020/04/10/chelsea-ma...

lubujackson 7y ago

Chelsea is literally the hardest hit town in MA: https://www.nbcboston.com/news/local/the-20-communities-with-the-highest-rate-of-coronavirus-cases-in-mass/2108780/ https://www.nbcboston.com/news/local/the-20-communities-with... I have some natural doubts over all these antibody tests that indicate herd immunity while covering up major flaws...

ghaff 7y ago

Furthermore, a very working class city so I'm sure that a far lower percentage of people are staying home than in many places. [ADDED: Given jobs that don't allow them to stay home.]

kgwgk 7y ago

And it’s a random sample of people on the street, at some particular place, which may not very representative of the population of Chelsea either.