3 ms·

Consensus among whom?

• usaar333 7y ago
  https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2009316 https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2009316 15.6% of pregnant woman at a given hospital were PCR confirmed over 2 weeks. I haven't seen strong arguments this wouldn't be broadly characteristic of the overall population. Worse (or better depending on how you look at it), there's significant false negatives with PCR testing. It's credible NYC could be at 30% by April 4 and given that confirmed cases doubled since then, could be at 50%+ by now.
  • tonyedgecombe 7y ago
    You can't extrapolate from pregnant women who have been visiting medical facilities to the general population.
    • usaar333 7y ago
      How off do you think this can be? Women go once a week to a medical facility (and that's to an ob-gen, not the emergency room) before birth, but also don't go out in general. You could just as well make the case this is lower than the general population.