It doesn't seem that unlikely to me (I live here). I know so many people, me included, who had it but aren't included in any official count for lack of testing,

It doesn't seem that unlikely to me (I live here). I know so many people, me included, who had it but aren't included in any official count for lack of testing, and so many others who must have had it (e.g. my cohabiting SO) who were asymptomatic.