3 ms·
I agree that cases are probably giving maybe a 10-20x undercount. That means that NYC has maybe 3 million infections. That means NYC is maybe half way to herd
by cameldrv 7y ago
I agree that cases are probably giving maybe a 10-20x undercount. That means that NYC has maybe 3 million infections. That means NYC is maybe half way to herd immunity, assuming reinfection doesn't happen and that immunity is lasting.
The only problem is that to get the other half way there, another 20,000 people have to die, just in New York City. That doesn't even count the already existing infections that haven't died yet.
- mlyle 7y agoMaybe this time we can do a better job of concentrating the infections in the less-likely-to-die group, and cut down on the deaths a little that way.