If you've read Superforecasting, the Good Judgement Project is a continuation of the one described in that book. This page has various forecasts that they are

If you've read Superforecasting, the Good Judgement Project is a continuation of the one described in that book. This page has various forecasts that they are working on which are related to Coronavirus. As for why their forecasts on random stuff are believable...read Superforecasting. :-)