4 ms·
And from the scenario:[0] > Event 201 simulates an outbreak of a novel zoonotic coronavirus transmitted from bats to pigs to people that eventually becomes eff
by mirimir 7y ago
And from the scenario:[0]
> Event 201 simulates an outbreak of a novel zoonotic coronavirus transmitted from bats to pigs to people that eventually becomes efficiently transmissible from person to person, leading to a severe pandemic. The pathogen and the disease it causes are modeled largely on SARS, but it is more transmissible in the community setting by people with mild symptoms.
That's almost exactly what happened. Except for the jump through pigs.
And the "growing number of epidemic events" is arguably caused by increasing human contact with previously isolated habitats, driven by population pressure.[1]
0) https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/scenario.html https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/scenario.ht...
1) https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/what-11-billion-people-mean-disease-outbreaks/ https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/what-11-billion-p...