The only measures that will prevent a large lockdown again in October are plentiful masks and plentiful hand sanitizer. So far I have seen neither. My estimate

The only measures that will prevent a large lockdown again in October are plentiful masks and plentiful hand sanitizer. So far I have seen neither. My estimate is that we have until August to get both is such high supply that people can buy them again and stock up, so that everyone wears them all the time and everyone can sanitize their hands at will. I think that may help in keeping the infection rates lower. Also we need real-time mass testing capabilities. Without all of these I can pretty much guarantee that the only weapon we have is lockdowns and there will be another one come flu season, possibly through Christmas until February/March. This is mainly because we won’t be able to tell the difference between the flu and Covid-19 fast enough.