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This analysis won’t work well because people will compare the what happened to the what happened. “It wasn’t worth 100,000 deaths to kill the economy” will be t

• mrfusion 6y ago
  I’m not following your logic. If Sweden ups up not being too bad it would seem to imply we wouldn’t have had two million deaths (especially in NYC alone. I don’t think anyone thinks a 25% IFR)
  • ajross 6y ago
    Sweden is already above the US deaths per capita rate, still growing where we have peaked, and much higher than their neighbor nations in both cases and deaths. Also note that Sweden isn't exactly "not locked down" anyway. They didn't institute the hard rules in the same way that, say, Missouri did. Yet the population did it anyway, because they watch the news and see other areas shutting down. So restaurants are open, but empty. Theaters are closed. People are working from home. (Schools are open, which is one difference from most US states). Sweden is absolutely not unaffected economically. Also recognize that Sweden, like other nations in scandanavia, had a much smaller and somewhat later outbreak vs. the ones we saw elsewhere in Europe. They had warning that the Italians didn't. So it's a spectrum thing. They chose to accept some lessser economic impact (how much less isn't really measured yet) at the cost of some number of deaths vs. similar data in Norway and Finland. The policy you are arguing for via "open up the economy" almost certainly doesn't look like Sweden.