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My guess is a lot of the assumptions and conclusions are wrong but that the high-level takeaway is correct: we should be looking for solutions to safely (yes, s
by Ozzie_osman 7y ago
My guess is a lot of the assumptions and conclusions are wrong but that the high-level takeaway is correct: we should be looking for solutions to safely (yes, safely, don't ignore that word please if you're going to reply and disagree) reopen the economy, rather than just do the "social distancing until we have a vaccine" thing.
edit to try and preempt the downvotes: I am supportive of social distancing and I'm observing it pretty strictly. But I also know a lot of people who are going to be in a lot of trouble if we're in this state for too long. We should be aggressively trying to get data that helps us get back to as normal a life as we can, safely.
- odkamkfn 7y agoAgreed, for purely selfish reasons. If we are going to do social distancing until we have a vaccine there's a big chance I will kill myself before we get there, and I really don't want to.
- DennisP 7y agoWhat I've seen epidemiologists recommend: lock down long enough to build up testing and tracing and reduce infections to a point where tracing is practical, then you can open back up and isolate individual cases. Trouble is, we haven't ramped up testing enough and we're heading toward opening prematurely. According to Harvard we need about three times as much daily testing to open safely: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/17/us/coronavirus-testing-states.html https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/17/us/coronaviru...
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]