3 ms·
>> The actual fatality rate of Covid-19 is the region of 0.1% > How can we be sure until we have widespread testing? I think we can be sure that this is an in
by quicklime 6y ago
>> The actual fatality rate of Covid-19 is the region of 0.1%
> How can we be sure until we have widespread testing?
I think we can be sure that this is an incorrect number, with the data we have right now. At least 8448 people have died of COVID-19 in New York City, and if only 0.1% of the infected die, then we have 8,448,000 infected New Yorkers. This is the entire population of the city (including those who fled to other states) and would mean that we've reached herd immunity and can stop worrying about it now.
- ahakki 6y agohttps://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page shows a significant drop in caseload. There might be herd immunity effect if you assume a death rate of ~0.2%.
- bkor 6y ago> At least 8448 people have died of COVID-19 in New York City Just to add: be very careful to compare deaths across countries. Every country seems to count deaths differently. Some only count it if you didn't have any other condition. E.g. you had something with your lungs? That death might not be reported. In Netherlands they compared the amount of people dying per week. There was a sudden huge increase of deaths. It seemed to indicate the number of deaths for Netherlands was 2x as high as they were reporting. Though they did report the deaths with a very clear remark that the numbers were highly likely to be too low. Unfortunately such remarks were often ignored by the public, leading to eventual distrust of any figure. Interestingly, the press at various times did make it clear that the figure could be unreliable. Seems people often just read a headline :-p PS: My point is that the 8448 might be greatly higher. Depends on how the 8448 was collected/reported.