Similar situation, and I knew it could happen very fast (3 day doubling periods do that), but without data I still wouldn't have predicted (and can't now) wher

Similar situation, and I knew it could happen very fast (3 day doubling periods do that), but without data I still wouldn't have predicted (and can't now) where it would get bad and where it would middle around. What we do now know is that it changes VERY fast so you can't wait for your ICUs to fill up or a lot of people will die... you have to act early. And if it came once this fast... it can again, if our guard goes down (and it will).