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It is expected that 70% of the population will get coronavirus then we will have herd immunity. The lock down is about stopping the healthcare systems getting o
by collyw 7y ago
It is expected that 70% of the population will get coronavirus then we will have herd immunity. The lock down is about stopping the healthcare systems getting overwhelmed (that will cause unnecessary deaths). That's the way I understand things.
The same number of deaths will occur are likely to occur in the long term unless Sweden's ICU beds get full.
If anyone has an alternative interpretation I am open to hearing it.
- varjag 7y agoThe eventual arrival of a vaccine may allow the states who are flattening the curve to have lower total amount of casualties.
- lbeltrame 7y agoOr drugs to help the clinical management of the disease (which have a chance - not a certainty - to arrive earlier than a vaccine).
- collyw 7y agoTrue, but it doesn't sound like it's going to happen any time soon. There was no vaccine for SARS.
- varjag 7y agoSARS was contained relatively quickly however, while the countries doing the mitigation looking potentially into many months of flattening.
- pnw_hazor 7y agoAccording to healthdata.org (IHME), Sweden has 79 ICU beds. If this is true, it seems that slowing the curve may not be worth it with so few ICU beds available. https://covid19.healthdata.org/sweden https://covid19.healthdata.org/sweden