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"50 times as many people have been infected with Covid as previously thought. That is a stunningly incorrect analysis. The results suggest (and I use suggest

"50 times as many people have been infected with Covid as previously thought. That is a stunningly incorrect analysis. The results suggest (and I use suggest deliberately, because there are a lot of sample bias/ data analysis issues here), that potentially (again, deliberate as this is a ceiling, not a floor) 50 times as many people have had COVID as confirmed cases. Well. Duh. We've known that asymptomatic carriers exist since before it even hit the U.S. Moreover, please note that this "50 times" number equals 5% of the population. We have 95% more to go before it burns out. There is plenty of reason to panic. If we opened up again and went back to our regular lives, we'd have about a million dead in two months. Of course, everyone is desperate to figure out how far COVID has spread, but we just don't have enough testing capacity right now. Because the government has just fallen flat on its face. We can now begin to understand why. As Fauci said in the Friday press-conference, from the beginning they trusted private industry when they promised they would have millions of tests a day capacity within weeks. I have personally run over 5,000 samples of this kind of test (not covid specifically but viral RNA RT_PCR assays) in one day. It's no rocket science. It's trivial. The only reason we are STILL?! at this laughable number of 150k/day tests is because our country is currently run by the most incompetent administration in a century.

gremlinsinc 7y ago
# of deaths doesn't even matter really... what matters most to me - is what this would do to service workers, healthcare workers, transit workers and the ICU's. Even if this proves to be as fatal as the flu, it's the long ICU stays and the toxicity of higher viral load on those who are more in contact with people. You can't deny what's happening in NYC right now. They're under attack. This would be every city in America, we'd maybe lose 5-10% of our hospital staff across America. Schools are closed now, what about med schools? Will new doctors come out ready to work next year or the year after or will they be set back and there be a shortage? Lots of systemic damage beyond just the fatalities could happen as a result of negligence. We need to be extremely careful.

gremlinsinc 7y ago

# of deaths doesn't even matter really... what matters most to me - is what this would do to service workers, healthcare workers, transit workers and the ICU's. Even if this proves to be as fatal as the flu, it's the long ICU stays and the toxicity of higher viral load on those who are more in contact with people. You can't deny what's happening in NYC right now. They're under attack. This would be every city in America, we'd maybe lose 5-10% of our hospital staff across America. Schools are closed now, what about med schools? Will new doctors come out ready to work next year or the year after or will they be set back and there be a shortage? Lots of systemic damage beyond just the fatalities could happen as a result of negligence. We need to be extremely careful.