4 ms·
His thinking is that a) fatalities are on the order of 0.1% (might be 2-3x higher) and that b) 50% of the population of the UK, Sweden and (presumably) NYC is a
by 9nGQluzmnq3M 7y ago
His thinking is that a) fatalities are on the order of 0.1% (might be 2-3x higher) and that b) 50% of the population of the UK, Sweden and (presumably) NYC is already infected.
I agree that this seems overly optimistic, but the high end of that range seems plausible in light of the figures we're seeing, no? That is, if we're at 0.1% fatalities at (say) 25% infected, then that would imply 0.2% at 50%.