There's an awesome book about getting better at predictions called "Superforecasting" https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/23995360-superforecasting https://www

There's an awesome book about getting better at predictions called "Superforecasting" https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/23995360-superforecasting https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/23995360-superforecastin... The idea is to make lots of time-limited, falsifiable predictions with percentage estimates attached and check your track record.