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Rounding error?! The US had 434 mass shootings in 2019, between ~50,000 middle-to-higher institutions. Assuming each of the 434 events happened at different ins
by oliwarner 7y ago
Rounding error?! The US had 434 mass shootings in 2019, between ~50,000 middle-to-higher institutions. Assuming each of the 434 events happened at different institutions, you had a 99.132% chance of not being present at a school shooting in 2019.
But you're at one of these institutions (middle through undergrad) for 11 years? Your probability of being at one of these during a shooting compounds to 90.86%.
9-in-10 people and their friends had a nice time, but that remaining 1 was there when four or more of their school were gunned down.
I don't disagree that the Constitution gives Americans a fair whack at freedom, but it also frustrates democracy. If a clear majority wanted to change things, even incrementally (background and mental health checks, storage laws esp child-access, restricting higher form assault weapons), overcoming the 66% bar really makes progress on [inexplicably] partisan issues like this impossible.
You've got to weigh up what this law was designed to do, against what it's permitting today. I think it's obvious we come to a different result when we balance that equation but I'm not deaf to your views either.
(Edit: Important to note that 434 is the mass shooting number. It's just 1% of all gun violence in schools.)
- oliwarner 7y agoMeant to say: Your probability of not being at one of these during a shooting compounds to 90.86%.
- ccffpphh 7y agoMost of those events are unrelated violence that just happens to be near institutions, not actual shootings. This includes gang-on-gang violence nearby, people shooting themselves in their car, accidental discharges, etc. Look at the actual numbers involved and the descriptions of the events themselves. There's a lot of interest in making it seem worse than it is, as you've clearly demonstrated.