4 ms·
Conversely if 80% of COVID carriers are asymptomatic and therefore untested as is currently theorized (the US aircraft carrier that became infected is the most
by rpiguy 7y ago
Conversely if 80% of COVID carriers are asymptomatic and therefore untested as is currently theorized (the US aircraft carrier that became infected is the most recent example) then we should be multiplying the denominator by 5 for the mortality rate, because right now we are just putting tested cases in the denominator for COVID. This dramatically reduces the mortality rate for the disease.
So the contagiousness of the disease actually reduces the mortality rate quite a lot, more so than uncounted deaths in the numerator.
Secondly if you do the same thing for the flu, put confirmed flu deaths over confirmed flu cases (tested) the mortality for flu is 4%. This would be the apples to apples comparison.
- adrr 7y agoFlu has a vaccine reducing the r0 number. We didn’t shut down the nation for last years flu and we didn’t have to build field hospitals to deal with sick peoples. Hospitals didn’t cancel elective surgeries because they had space and resources. Fatality rate would be higher if we had to ration care but used social distancing and shutdowns to flatten the curve.