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We have excellent data now, which has caused all numbers to be revised down week after week from a ridiculous 3.4 million dead to 70K by July (the Flu killed 80
by rpiguy 7y ago
We have excellent data now, which has caused all numbers to be revised down week after week from a ridiculous 3.4 million dead to 70K by July (the Flu killed 80K in the 2018-2019 season). There is enough data for me to decide it is not worth giving up any privacy or civil liberties for while numbers are going down. If the numbers start to go the other way, then I will reconsider. We should adapt to information as we receive it.
Of course it will be tenuous and disingenuous for any political ad to make statements about the success or failure of containment strategies. I was only pointing out what we will be said, and what people will believe, not what was rational. Irrationality is not a roadblock in politics, lol.
- Silhouette 7y agoWe have excellent data now? Please share the sources, because over here the lack of solid data seems to be the biggest obstacle to better policy making. We have official figures for COVID-19 deaths that only cover some cases and don't line up with the excess above seasonal rates. We have no idea how many people have already had it without major symptoms and estimates vary by an order of magnitude. We do not know the long term implications for those who have recovered in terms of immunity. Media sources are trying to work out fatality rates naively by dividing deaths so far by confirmed cases so far, ignoring the multi-week lag, so they are comparing incompatible figures and producing figures that may be very optimistic. Who is doing better than this right now?