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No surprise here. Climate models do a job on the details that matter most. They might improve as suggested in this paper.
by poma88 7y ago
No surprise here. Climate models do a job on the details that matter most. They might improve as suggested in this paper.
- chrisco255 7y agoGiven that they are modeling a chaotic system it is extremely important that they get even the tiniest details correct, or they are no better than a random guess.
- IngoBlechschmid 7y agoClimate is much less chaotic than weather, as it is about long-term and long-range averages; the quality of climate models can be judged by feeding them historic inputs (such as the amount of anthropogenic greenhouse emissions) and comparing their outputs for the years until 2020 with the actual record. Even simple climate models are substantially better than random guesses.
- Proven 6y agoSimple climate models in the 90's predicted TEOTWAWKI by 2020. Random guesses did not.