5 ms·
Um, no, the deaths-per-capita can't decrease unless people are being resurrected. The rate of increase can slow, but the Johns Hopkins data doesn't even show th
by mgsouth 7y ago
Um, no, the deaths-per-capita can't decrease unless people are being resurrected. The rate of increase can slow, but the Johns Hopkins data doesn't even show that happening (looking at new deaths/wk). Although it does show the acceleration declining, and it's possible the rate of increase is flattening out this week. If so, then Sweden's per-capita death rate will be increasing by 6%/day.
The chart you linked to bears that out. As itself says, it's excluding estimated delays from the last 7 days, so the last really solid numbers are up to April 10th. Everything before that is increasing exponentially. Even if we assume the backlog has stopped increasing (blue bars getting bigger), which is what the grey estimates are based upon, then Sweden is still getting another 70 or so deaths per day, which means the per-capita death rate is going up by 7/million every day.
- jdminhbg 7y agoYou said the "rate is increasing." Rate indicates deaths per time. Deaths per time is not increasing.