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You’re ignoring the possibility that the lockdown bought us time to prepare a more effective strategy we can implement as we open society again. Also, there ar
by _vertigo 6y ago
You’re ignoring the possibility that the lockdown bought us time to prepare a more effective strategy we can implement as we open society again.
Also, there are still a lot of unknowns about this virus.
* It has been reported to cause long term organ damage. How common is that? How severe is it?
* It has killed lots of people who are not frail.
* We don’t have a good idea of how widespread it is, so we don’t know what the true death rate is. The Santa Clara serological study suggested that 48k residents have been infected. Santa Clara currently only has 73 deaths, which gives a death rate of .15%. We only had access to this serological data yesterday, so how would we have made decisions using it last month? And even if the death rate is low, that’s the death rate with a health care system that’s not at capacity thanks to social distancing and lockdown measures.
* We don’t know how effective a policy of “protect the old and frail” would be because it’s never been tried.
* etc etc
All of these unknowns together should give you pause. It’s tiring to hear people confidently promoting their unfounded opinions on the virus grounded in nothing more than a know-it-all attitude and a generous helping of Dunning-Kruger.
- erdos4d 6y agoWhat have we accomplished in this time? We know basically what we knew a month ago, we have no vaccine or treatment, and we know very well that the old and compromised are at much higher risk than the young. We also know that every passing day gives those with capital to withstand this more leverage within the society as more businesses go under and more people are thrown to the dole. This we can be certain of, especially in the US, where it seems to be repugnant to provide serious assistance to the poor. Maybe you are one of those with great wealth, but the rest of us would be happy to put grandma in an empty house somewhere and get back to work, before there is no work to be had. I personally feel this way and am happy to take my chances with the virus rather than the "goodwill" of the rich. I suspect mine is rapidly becoming a majority opinion as savings dwindle and businesses go under.