The problem I see with Taleb is that people see him as the kid who cries 'wolf' too much, unfortunately. Other people see him as someone, like a stopped clock,

The problem I see with Taleb is that people see him as the kid who cries 'wolf' too much, unfortunately. Other people see him as someone, like a stopped clock, is right twice a day. It's unfortunate, because he probably has valid contributions to make now that we are in the exact scenario he was built for. But he has lost a lot of credibility in the years leading up to it, rightly or wrongly.