IMO it was not about prediction per se, it was about prediction of magnitude. Will be Wuhan virus bad? Probably so. HOW BAD will it be? That's just another leve

IMO it was not about prediction per se, it was about prediction of magnitude. Will be Wuhan virus bad? Probably so. HOW BAD will it be? That's just another level of prediction. Remember that experiment with smoke in the room with actors sitting and chatting like this is totally fine? [0] Posting a tweet "I am getting ready to 3-6 months quarantine and advise everybody to do so as well" has much more internal pressure. [0] http://www.weirduniverse.net/blog/comments/the_smoke_filled_room http://www.weirduniverse.net/blog/comments/the_smoke_filled_...