> Right now, most tests are being performed in response to patients presenting symptoms. This creates artificially high results. You don't think anyone else ha

> Right now, most tests are being performed in response to patients presenting symptoms. This creates artificially high results. You don't think anyone else has noticed this? The estimates have been based on lower numbers than the raw data. > The infected cruise ship had a death rate of 0.7% I agree that the Diamond Princess was particularly interesting because of the high testing rate. Your number is very clearly wrong, though. The actual numbers reported was 13 deaths in 712 cases, or 1.8%. They also have 55 unresolved cases, and someone who has been sick for this long is looking at worse odds than the general population. > 1.3 million deaths is an order of magnitude more than what is being projected. Earlier this month, the range given was 100,000 - 240,000. Now this projection has been lowered first to 80,000 and now to 60,000: First of all, those numbers are going down precisely because of the measures you're complaining about. Second, they're clearly implausible. The 60,000 estimate is from 9 days ago. Meanwhile, the current official count is just shy of 40,000, and the excess deaths have consistently been double or more of the estimate for COVID-19 deaths (Italy, for example, is reporting 6x [1], while NYC was until a recent change in their reporting showing 2x [2] - but we haven't seen these changes anywhere else in the country). [1] https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/04/coronavirus-is-only-part-of-the-excess-fatality-mystery.html https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/04/coronavirus-is-only-... [2] https://gothamist.com/news/surge-number-new-yorkers-dying-home-officials-suspect-undercount-covid-19-related-deaths https://gothamist.com/news/surge-number-new-yorkers-dying-ho...