6 ms·

It will be really interesting once large random samples of people are tested -- quite possibly we will find out that the virus was spreading super widely in cer

by xt00 6y ago

It will be really interesting once large random samples of people are tested -- quite possibly we will find out that the virus was spreading super widely in certain areas for Jan / Feb / March before lockdowns started happening.. the model might end up being something like given X person has the virus, what is the likelihood that they will interact with somebody over the age of 60..

BubRoss 6y ago
I don't know why this was downvoted, it seems reasonable to me. A lot of people would have traveled for christmas, new years and chinese new year. Testing was almost non existent. I would bet that everyone by now at least knows someone who suspects they have already had it.
- sfj 6y ago
  Because mapping out the geographic locations of those who were infected could hurt the economy of the blighted areas even further.
  - BubRoss 6y ago
    Why would that be true? This is talking about antibody tests and is likely indicative of statistics and patterns common to everywhere else.
    - sfj 6y ago
      > quite possibly we will find out that the virus was spreading super widely in certain areas Emphasis mine
      - BubRoss 6y ago
        Why would it be spread in certain areas and not others? Why would knowing who has antibodies hurt the economy when everyone is already secluded?
        sfj 6y ago
        > Why would it be spread in certain areas and not others? I would guess because of different social distancing practices. > Why would knowing who has antibodies hurt the economy when everyone is already secluded? Knowing who has antibodies is going to be conflated with who has covid-19, because the general public is not going to get the nuance. And everyone is secluded right now but that will change. However, I don't understand why you are asking me to prove the premise of the parent poster. I thought I was answering the question why he might have been downvoted, not whether what he was proposing was feasible. Maybe you could explain why you are asking me this. It seems you agree that a map targeting certain groups of people as likely of having covid-19 would be a bad outcome, isn't it? If so, you could probably understand why he might be downvoted.
        BubRoss 6y ago
        To be clear, you think that enough people will be paying attention to this study on testing for antibodies that it will hurt the local economy of the place being tested, because the people paying attention don't understand antibodies?
        sfj 6y ago
        What “study”? Are we not talking about what the parent poster wrote anymore? And to answer your question, you see, there are these people called reporters, and they get a lot of information from very different sources. They filter out what is interesting and broadcast it to their audience. Perhaps you've heard of them.

by xt00 6y ago

BubRoss 6y ago

I don't know why this was downvoted, it seems reasonable to me. A lot of people would have traveled for christmas, new years and chinese new year. Testing was almost non existent. I would bet that everyone by now at least knows someone who suspects they have already had it.

sfj 6y ago
Because mapping out the geographic locations of those who were infected could hurt the economy of the blighted areas even further.
- BubRoss 6y ago
  Why would that be true? This is talking about antibody tests and is likely indicative of statistics and patterns common to everywhere else.
  - sfj 6y ago
    > quite possibly we will find out that the virus was spreading super widely in certain areas Emphasis mine
    - BubRoss 6y ago
      Why would it be spread in certain areas and not others? Why would knowing who has antibodies hurt the economy when everyone is already secluded?
      - sfj 6y ago
        > Why would it be spread in certain areas and not others? I would guess because of different social distancing practices. > Why would knowing who has antibodies hurt the economy when everyone is already secluded? Knowing who has antibodies is going to be conflated with who has covid-19, because the general public is not going to get the nuance. And everyone is secluded right now but that will change. However, I don't understand why you are asking me to prove the premise of the parent poster. I thought I was answering the question why he might have been downvoted, not whether what he was proposing was feasible. Maybe you could explain why you are asking me this. It seems you agree that a map targeting certain groups of people as likely of having covid-19 would be a bad outcome, isn't it? If so, you could probably understand why he might be downvoted.
        BubRoss 6y ago
        To be clear, you think that enough people will be paying attention to this study on testing for antibodies that it will hurt the local economy of the place being tested, because the people paying attention don't understand antibodies?
        sfj 6y ago
        What “study”? Are we not talking about what the parent poster wrote anymore? And to answer your question, you see, there are these people called reporters, and they get a lot of information from very different sources. They filter out what is interesting and broadcast it to their audience. Perhaps you've heard of them.