4 ms·
A large percentage of the population in NYC and Italy have been probably already been infected -- for NYC specifically, I don't think its too implausible to ima
by grandmczeb 7y ago
A large percentage of the population in NYC and Italy have been probably already been infected -- for NYC specifically, I don't think its too implausible to imagine 20-30%. That would give an IFR of ~0.6% which is in line with a lot of other estimates. An IFR of <0.3% seems unlikely though.
- shalmanese 7y agoThat gives a current IFR of 0.6%. Most cases haven't resolved yet and South Korea is showing that the death rate inches up over time as deaths take much longer to resolve than recoveries.