This is what I've been assuming - 200 to 250x. But 250xdeaths gives you the infected number from two weeks ago. To get current infected you then have to multip

This is what I've been assuming - 200 to 250x. But 250xdeaths gives you the infected number from two weeks ago. To get current infected you then have to multiply it by communication^(days to death), something like 1.1^14, with the first term varying depending on population density and lockdown measures, and the second on how on the ball that locality is for detecting cases and keeping people alive.