> ...noticeable reduction in the spread? I believe the SIR model [0] answers those questions. 3blue1brown's video on the topic is super digestible and informat

> ...noticeable reduction in the spread? I believe the SIR model [0] answers those questions. 3blue1brown's video on the topic is super digestible and informative [1]. In short, the discovery of a prophylactic if not a therapeutic treatment are our best immediate bets, absent which, quarantines and lockdowns will have to persist to curb the spread of a disease as infectious as covid-19 whilst we patiently wait for an effective vaccine against it [2]. [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compartmental_models_in_epidemiology#The_SIR_model https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compartmental_models_in_epidem... [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gxAaO2rsdIs https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gxAaO2rsdIs [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vaccine_efficacy https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vaccine_efficacy