I have a pessimistic view about this aspect of the future and I think your first option is vastly more likely. We have too many people who have their entire sel

I have a pessimistic view about this aspect of the future and I think your first option is vastly more likely. We have too many people who have their entire self worth wrapped up in their employment, too many people who look down on the very concept of being unemployed (i.e. "Protestant work ethic"), and in the USA, racial divisions complicating the matter tremendously. The best I can hope for is a reduction in the number of people who open a conversation with a stranger with "So, what do you do for a living?" as if that's the most important or interesting question to ask someone.