4 ms·
California has 2X the population of New York. NY has more than 17X the number of deaths and while the daily deaths rate there is slowing it still far outpaces
by slg 7y ago
California has 2X the population of New York. NY has more than 17X the number of deaths and while the daily deaths rate there is slowing it still far outpaces CA's daily rate. I don't know how you can look at those numbers and conclude the disease was spreading unchecked in California for multiple months.
- pwned1 7y agoMaybe a milder form of it came directly from Wuhan to CA, spreading like a bad flu. And then the version in NY came from Wuhan to Europe to NY, mutating along the way, and making it more deadly.
- slg 7y agoI'm not sure why we should believe the strain that originated in Wuhan was milder, but lets go with this theory for a minute. How does the nursing home in Washington fit into that picture? It was one of the earliest known hotspots in the US and it was extremely deadly. Was it the mild strain that you think might have already been spreading through California or the severe strain from Europe that spread to Washington first before New York? If it was the former, why didn't we see similar situations in California among vulnerable populations?
- MikeAmelung 7y agoNot that I necessarily agree with the theory, an influenza outbreak in a nursing home could be extremely deadly. This is why they are nearly 100% vaccinated. And they are (or are supposed to be) quick to quarantine and lockdown if it seems like flu has been detected. Which is to say that even a "mild" strain would certainly pose a larger risk to a nursing home.
- slg 7y agoI realize that, but it skips over the last question in my previous post. Why didn't we see a similar situation in any California nursing homes if this mild strain was spreading unchecked for months in a population with zero immunity?