3 ms·
Unfortunately I’ve seen these methodological updates getting twisted to serve various political ends - such as trying to discount the severity of the pandemic b
by yellow_postit 7y ago
Unfortunately I’ve seen these methodological updates getting twisted to serve various political ends - such as trying to discount the severity of the pandemic because “clearly they are overcounting”
- thatoneuser 7y agoIf gp said people are being counted just for showing symptoms regardless of cause of death, then that would definitely be over counting. Same if just showing symptoms without a test. It's a way to count, but it'd artificially high.
- jMyles 7y agoIf the number of deaths is overcounted (it might be, or it might be undercounted, or it might be overcounted in some places and undercounted in others), and the total number of cases is undercounted (it is; it's just a matter of how far we keep adjusting - we can't gain confidence until we have representative serological surveys), then the fatality rate (and thus almost certainly the mortality rate) is also overestimated. I don't know if that is "discounting the severity", but so far we've watched the CFR go from the announcement at the WHO of 3.4% to paper after paper finding below 1% (sometimes far below). I don't think that these researchers are discounting the severity, I think they're doing the best they can with limited data.