3 ms·
Don’t you think that anyone who got the “slight sore throat, dry cough and mild fever” or milder symptom variation would be unlikely to get tested or talk about
by goblin89 7y ago
Don’t you think that anyone who got the “slight sore throat, dry cough and mild fever” or milder symptom variation would be unlikely to get tested or talk about it?
The disconnect between the definitions of “mild” as in “passing without hospitalization” and “mild” as in “easy to bear for most people” is part of what grants weight to the message that the new virus is extremely bad even in the mild version.
It could be worth applying the falsifiability check here. What are the chances you could hear a message contradicting this observation?
I’m going to imagine a possible counter-message and its optics. “I was exposed and got sick, symptoms seemed to match up but they were really weak and not enough to get tested”—this would be unlikely to gain any positive attention. On facts it’d be very unspecific by the nature of it, on emotional level it might seem unfair to the suffering of other patients, from social/mass media point of view it’d just not be news- (or share-) worthy at all. Even if this case was much more common, the message has virtually no chances of ever being expressed and heard under current circumstances.
This line of thought, of course, should not lead to a conclusion that the prevailing variation of the virus is really mild. It only points out that the accounts we get the chance to hear may not be enough to judge the general severity of the symptoms.
- lbeltrame 7y ago> Don’t you think that anyone who got the “slight sore throat, dry cough and mild fever” or milder symptom variation would be unlikely to get tested or talk about it? That's my opinion, as well, there's clearly under-reporting of these cases, and that's why specific serological tests are important. Anecdata: a partner of an acquaintance of mine had fever (but rather mild) for a couple of days, then developed anosmia. The doctor told him to stay at home and that's it. He was never tested so the doubt lingers (happened well over a month ago, so one can't discount a flu, either).