To be fair, shelter at home not appearing impactful earlier on had as much to do with testing capacity ramping up + delayed results. If you’re massively underte

To be fair, shelter at home not appearing impactful earlier on had as much to do with testing capacity ramping up + delayed results. If you’re massively undertesting, even if new infections are decreasing, you’ll likely see growing rate of confirmed positives as you scale daily tests. Similarly, if the results are taking 5-7 days to return, it is entirely possible for new confirmed positives to skyrocket just as actual new infections are tumbling.