Follow the Iceland data. They've tested about 10% of their population, including random testing of seemingly healthy people. They've almost eliminated new cases

Follow the Iceland data. They've tested about 10% of their population, including random testing of seemingly healthy people. They've almost eliminated new cases. Death follows about three weeks after symptoms, so we'll know the infection fatality rate soon. Right now it's quite low there, but I predict it will trend towards 1% - 1.5% like we saw in Germany and South Korea, whose rates also started out low. That's >10x the death rate of the flu and would indicate half a million to a million dead in the US.