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Not compared to Norway. How did Norway have more cases a month ago and now Sweden has double and 10x as many deaths.

mardifoufs 7y ago
Belgium and Sweden have had a similar timeline yet Belgium has a much higher number of deaths/capita. Same could be said for a lot of countries that have had much more fatalities. Look at the higher fatality rates in Quebec too, even though the province set in place really strict lockdowns and has had it's first deaths much later than Sweden. My point here is that Sweden is well in the middle of the pack. So what gives? Shouldn't Sweden be a complete outlier with a much higher number of fatal cases? It compares negatively to Norway, sure but it has much better results than a lot more similar countries too. How is that possible? We are absolutely starting to move the goalposts if we went from predicting spanish flu mortality rates without a lockdown to a slightly higher death count per capita compared to a few neighbors but a much better one compared to a lot more. Also, I don't know why people assume Sweden simply has had the virus later than everyone else and that's why they haven't been hit as hard yet. There's no basis for that, it's not like travel routes are slow and it still takes weeks to spread a disease. There's no reason to assume that when Belgium or Germany got the virus, Sweden was just magically spared for a few more weeks. We should've been seeing an impossible to miss outlier numbers from Sweden by now and the complete opposite is happening .
- danieltillett 7y ago
  There are so many confounding factors that it is very hard to say. Sweden does look like an outlier compared to the other Scandinavian countries. Testing criteria between countries are so different that it is very hard to make any comparison. About the only number I trust is all cause deaths and even that is laggy.
- cycomanic 7y ago
  Actually compared to many other countries Sweden did have community spread significantly later (10 days or so if I remember correctly). Also Sweden has large variations within the country, Stockholm was really a week or so ahead of everyone else

Belgium and Sweden have had a similar timeline yet Belgium has a much higher number of deaths/capita. Same could be said for a lot of countries that have had much more fatalities. Look at the higher fatality rates in Quebec too, even though the province set in place really strict lockdowns and has had it's first deaths much later than Sweden. My point here is that Sweden is well in the middle of the pack. So what gives? Shouldn't Sweden be a complete outlier with a much higher number of fatal cases? It compares negatively to Norway, sure but it has much better results than a lot more similar countries too. How is that possible? We are absolutely starting to move the goalposts if we went from predicting spanish flu mortality rates without a lockdown to a slightly higher death count per capita compared to a few neighbors but a much better one compared to a lot more. Also, I don't know why people assume Sweden simply has had the virus later than everyone else and that's why they haven't been hit as hard yet. There's no basis for that, it's not like travel routes are slow and it still takes weeks to spread a disease. There's no reason to assume that when Belgium or Germany got the virus, Sweden was just magically spared for a few more weeks. We should've been seeing an impossible to miss outlier numbers from Sweden by now and the complete opposite is happening .

danieltillett 7y ago
There are so many confounding factors that it is very hard to say. Sweden does look like an outlier compared to the other Scandinavian countries. Testing criteria between countries are so different that it is very hard to make any comparison. About the only number I trust is all cause deaths and even that is laggy.
cycomanic 7y ago
Actually compared to many other countries Sweden did have community spread significantly later (10 days or so if I remember correctly). Also Sweden has large variations within the country, Stockholm was really a week or so ahead of everyone else