4 ms·

If there’s a lot of uncounted asymptotic cases the IFR is correspondingly lower.

• vkou 7y ago
  Only 25% of the positive-cases on the Diamond princess turned out to be asymptomatic after 4 weeks. The much-higher, 50% numbers that were being thrown around were obviously overestimated - precisely because it takes a week or two or three for some people to start showing symptoms. As such, it's incredibly unlikely that the # of real cases is some large multiplier of the number of confirmed cases in any areas that are regularly testing people with flu-like symptoms.
  • grandmczeb 7y ago
    > Only 25% of the positive-cases on the Diamond princess turned out to be asymptomatic after 4 weeks. Are you referring to [1]? As far as I know that's the only follow up, but your summary doesn't match their results. [1] https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.10.2000180 https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.E...
  • easytiger 7y ago
    > As such, it's incredibly unlikely that the # of real cases is some large multiplier of the number of confirmed cases in any areas that are regularly testing people with flu-like symptoms. For example?