5 ms·
So with a 1% IFR, that would mean 20% infected. Would you agree with that number? Has anywhere else found 20% infected at the level of a metropolis?
by MikeAmelung 7y ago
So with a 1% IFR, that would mean 20% infected. Would you agree with that number? Has anywhere else found 20% infected at the level of a metropolis?
- joshuahedlund 7y agoI think 20% is definitely in the range of plausibility. See 15% infection rate in a set of tested pregnant women in NYC[1] I think the preponderance of evidence currently points to an IFR of 1% or maybe a bit lower. [1]https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2009316 https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2009316
- MikeAmelung 7y agoYes, very interesting, NYC will certainly be an important source of data for the foreseeable future.
- glofish 7y agoThis is massively informative. If anything pregnant women take a lot more precautions than other people. They are most likely under representing the overall infection rate.