This article uses Sweden as some kind of null-hypothesis reference, but it's important to understand that Sweden is only one of the least locked down countries

This article uses Sweden as some kind of null-hypothesis reference, but it's important to understand that Sweden is only one of the least locked down countries de jure. Sweden is de facto as locked down as most other countries, everyone that can work from home does so, schools are almost empty, restaurants are almost empty, people are traveling less, the border is closed, etc. So it's not the case that a country can completely lift the lockdown and expect to continue along the same path as Sweden, you have to look at and model what people are actually doing, not what they're told to do. Still, the article is very interesting because it shows that every country is suppressing the exponential growth somehow, it's not really out of control anywhere anymore.