4 ms·

I'm not trying to be a wet blanket, I'm just refraining from pretending I can predict the future. That seems like a useful skill now more than ever. The virus c

I'm not trying to be a wet blanket, I'm just refraining from pretending I can predict the future. That seems like a useful skill now more than ever. The virus could mutate and become less potent. Populations could gain herd immunity relatively quickly. We could have a vaccine in a record-breaking time, defying all projections. Or none of that could happen, and we are forced to adapt our healthcare systems to handle COVID-19 the same way we handle so many other illnesses, and accept the associated fatalities. There's plenty of possible outcomes and I see no reason to assume any given one is more likely than any other at this point.

JoeAltmaier 7y ago
Sure you do. Some of those scenarios are vastly more likely than others. Kind of the definition of a 'wet blanket', to keep bringing up unlikely negative outcomes like they might really happen. Yes, yes, they might happen. But the likely scenario is, with 1M people working on a dozen fronts, that modern intelligent educated humans will defeat this. Not on just one front, but on several simultaneously. In a couple of months we'll be planning exactly how we'll proceed.