3 ms·
It's probably low prevalence in the population based on our understanding of when covid-19 first appeared. The UK has some randomized seriological surveillance
by sjg007 7y ago
It's probably low prevalence in the population based on our understanding of when covid-19 first appeared.
The UK has some randomized seriological surveillance and it's about 13% prevalence. That matches with the pregnancy study of 15% prevalence (which may be enriched due to hospital visits).
- casefields 7y agoThere's already a change in the public narrative. New signs suggest coronavirus was in California far earlier than anyone knew: https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-04-11/bay-area-coronavirus-deaths-signs-of-earlier-spread-california https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-04-11/bay-area... Whoops.
- sjg007 7y agoThat's not inconsistent with the Seattle timeline. But for sure genetic analysis of the viruses would reveal the source. "Stanford’s virology lab, looking retroactively at some 2,800 patient samples collected since January, did not find the first COVID-19 cases until late February — from two patients who were tested Feb. 21 and Feb. 23" Again not inconsistent with the Seattle timeline.