4 ms·

Biden "may work, then again, [...] may not work." - Is that an endorsement?

• scythe 6y ago
  You're omitting the base rate. The base rate probability for an arbitrary drug to treat a disease with no treatments is probably extremely low, < 1%. There are thousands of drugs; at most a few treat COVID-19. Suggesting that any single drug has a significant chance of a positive effect puts it well ahead of the pack. By contrast, the base rate for a former Senator doing an okay job with the Presidency is probably in the range 20-80%. Suggesting that Biden would do as well as any other former Senator (may or may not) is not an endorsement, but suggesting he would do much better than the base rate is definitely an endorsement.
• josefresco 6y ago
  "What do you have to lose? Take it," "I sure as hell think we ought to give it a try." "one of the biggest game-changers in the history of medicine" "I want people to live and I’m seeing people dying and I’m seeing people who will die without it," These statements are just the tip of the iceberg when it comes to endorsements by Trump.
• vernie 6y ago
  Biden has "a real chance to be one of the biggest game changers in the history of medicine". Damn, I had better vote for that guy!